Archive Listing May 28, 2009 - May 21, 2009
|

. I may have misunderstood his intent, but well respected
InstaPunk reader Joshua Chamberlain seemed to be declaring his
impatience with the subject of UFOs in his comment on the Thursday, May
8 post, which concluded with the sentiment, "Too many credible stories
about UFOs and USOs. If any of
them are true, the scientists are full of shit. Which isn't that much
of a reach. Let's face it." Mr. Chamberlain's observation was, "You're
not serious."
To be blunt, yes, I am. There are two poles of scientific certainty:
the theories scientists are certain are true; and the theories
scientists are certain are nonsense. Examples of the first kind are
black holes, neo-Darwinian evolution, and man-made Global Warming.
Examples of the second kind are ESP, reincarnation, and UFOs. Most
people follow the easy middle path mapped out by the scientists,
accepting what they say is true and rejecting what they say is untrue.
Some have the temerity to question what scientists believe in while
still following their lead in dismissing phenomena that are documented
by more evidence than has ever been put forward for black holes. On the
face of it this seems rather arbitrary. If scientists can be mistaken
about subjects they have spent entire careers studying, why can't they
be just as mistaken about subjects they've barely studied at all?
Yes, I know there are professional
skeptics who make their money by wading into one controversy after
another -- always claiming to be objective and devoted to the
scientific method -- and always emerging from their investigations with
exactly the same conclusion: nothing to it. To me they'd have more
credibility if they occasionally (or even once) conceded that they
don't know enough to be certain one way or the other. They're
incredibly tiresome about repeating the Sagan Rule, "extraordinary
claims require extraordinary evidence," but they almost never consider
the possibility that the difference between extraordinary and ordinary
may consist of baseless assumptions. Moreover, they're just as remiss
in acknowledging that most of the phenomena they apply this standard to
don't actually have what a real scientist would call a control -- that
is, an equivalent population that can be compared to the population
being studied or experimented on. There is no other self-conscious
intelligent species we can look to as a basis for determining whether
or not it is an extraordinary claim that ghosts exist, or
reincarnation, or remote viewing, or Jungian synchronicity, or
visitation by advanced alien species. If we really did have such a
control population, it might be that the ordinary assumption regarding
all these phenomena is that they're routine and to be expected.
If we could kidnap Leonardo da Vinci from the fifteenth century
and bring him to ours, what would we have to do to convince him that a
smaller unit of matter than any he was aware of could be split apart to
produce an explosion that would level Florence and kill everyone who
lived there? Would it be enough to show him the physics calculations
and explain the technology? After all, that's all it would take to
transform our faith that this
is so into knowing certainty, and most of us aren't half as brilliant
as Leonardo What if we showed him film of the first Los Alamos
detonation and he didn't believe it? Is it really the claim that's
extraordinary, or is it rather that his assumption set is simply too
primitive? Even if he refused to believe it until we actually set off a
nuclear warhead in his line of sight, it doesn't change the
authenticity or the matter-of-fact correctness of the calculations and
technology descriptions we showed him in the first place.
The Sagan Rule doesn't relate to evidence per se; it relates to the
point of view of the percipient, specifically the closed-mindedness of
the determined skeptic. If you're pre-disposed to disbelieve something,
you're going to be harder to convince. That doesn't change the
acceptable measure of proof at all. None but a handful of people has
seen the wreck of the Titanic at the bottom of the Atlantic Ocean. But
we all (agree to) believe it exists, even though photographic evidence
can be
faked and all the supposed eyewitnesses have an economic incentive for
making us believe their claims.
Yes, but we all just know
that the earth isn't really being visited by a extraterrestrial
civilizations. Sure we do. We also know
that there's such a thing as an electron, which is sort of there and
sort of not there too, according to quantum physics. What kind of
evidence do you accept for the latter? And why is that so much more
plausible than the evidence you dismiss for the former? Or haven't you
ever really bothered to look into either?
You're on your own in researching the reality of the electron. But I
can give you a start into investigating the possibility that the UFO
phenomenon is a deeply mysterious reality of some sort whose
fundamental nature isn't understood by anyone:
1952
White House Flap
Operation
Mainbrace
Edwards
Air Force Base
Browse and sharpshoot to your heart's content. At the end you may think you know. But you won't know.
Nobody does. And the scientists who keep telling us they're sure how
the universe works are guessing along with the rest of us.
That might be kind of sad, and it also might be kind of wonderful. It
sort of depends on your point of view. Like everything else.
UPDATE.
On a different subject, faithful InstaPunk readers please note the
update to the May 4 post about the Liberty
Medal. I really am asking
for some audience participation here. Not for Country Punk, who posted
the original. But for Sid Mark, the amazing gentleman he was writing
about. Thank you.
A Mother's Day Tribute to:

. We're
into the new NEW feminism now, the post-Hillary, post-modern, post-love
generation of git-up-and-go professional mothers to be. They'll be up
on all the pre-nuptial agreement laws, time-off for post-partum
murderous fantasies therapy, breastfeeding-till-puberty fashion statements, daycare-reimbursement rights, car-seat
regulations, divorce-the-bastard-to-death self destructiveness,
single-mother-I-get- the-house-and-everything- else-but-a-father
litigation, my-kid-can-do-no-wrong denial, and post-doctoral, Michelle Obama, permanent, pissed-off
hard-on about how-much-my- life-sucks-now politics. A breakthrough.
Thanks to the fearless pioneers of the last half of the twentieth
century, tomorrow's kids will have moms who know what men and phones
are for (although the order of those should probably be reversed if
priority is important).
Who could possibly have foreseen an age in which women would get "push-presents"
just because they're maybe possibly capable of becoming mothers someday, and,
well, basking in literally unbounded admiration just for the fact of
their belonging to the superior female sex? Who could ever have
anticipated the attractive distance and ennui of Michelle
Obama?
Oops. maybe one guy
foresaw it:
Yeah, he knew something about Princetion, and even Yale. But what the
hell did he know
about iPhones, text-messaging, and girl power? Women invented all that stuff. And
future babies will thank them forever. Especially when they figure out
how easily their moms could have ditched them in that incredibly
uncomfortable and vanity-assaulting ninth month.
Happy Mother's Day to all the old-fashioned mothers out there. We love
you. Oh yes we do. You we
absolutely revere and treasure. Because we know you never thought about
killing us to keep your career, your figure or your boyfriend.
Nobody under the age of 40 can be really sure of that anymore. Moms.
WICKED.
Try listening to the audio file as if it were a fetus talking to the
neo-Mom of the graphic above after she'd decided to, uh, "end the
pregnancy" for the good of all concerned. Would Gloria care?
Would Michelle? Would the current Princeton female graduating class?
[Text your answers to 98987.]
That's the basis of our heartfelt thank you to the real mothers who
don't need push-presents or all the convenient empty clap-trap of
post-modern narcissism. Which has always been there. It just never used
to be regarded as a virtue.
.
The inspired diggers over at HotAir
found this terrific clip of Hillary Clinton acting out the final scene
from Sunset Boulevard. It's
too good to pass up, even if the only value-added we can provide is the
easy-to-find clip of the original scene.
Here it is:
But who, we wonder, is the dead guy in Hillary's pool? You know, the
murdered guy who narrates the whole pitiful story.
Has anyone checked on Bill's whereabouts today?
Never mind. We're sure he's fine. But, uh, what about that Mark Penn
fellow?
Just asking.

. Okay. So this
is interesting. From a lot of different angles.
Let me count the problems with this bohunkus analysis of cosmology. I'm
not just having fun here. I'm demonstrating some of the principal
problems with official science the way it's practiced in academe. The
official logic is silly but important.
Let's start with the most disingenuous part of the story: "Previous
models are founded on the rationale that
intelligent life on
Earth emerged from a sequence of unlikely
'critical steps'" [Italics added] The word 'rationale' is in this case
a synonym for 'assumption.' An assumption that's suspect on several counts.
First, the universe is immensely vast, which means that even the
unlikeliest events are, in sum, inevitable. Eventually, somebody does win the Powerball Lottery. All
it takes is enough trials. Our universe provides an almost infinite
number of trials. Which means there's a pretty big population of
Powerball winners when you start multiplying billion-to-one odds by
umpty-quintillion ticket buyers.
No matter what the odds are against life on earth, there are probably
billions of planets where similarly 'unlikely' events have taken place.
Second, the assumption implies that the vastness of space somehow
matters in terms of ET contact. There are two reasons to doubt this.
There's Arthur
C. Clarke's admonition that "Any sufficiently advanced technology
is indistinguishable from magic." Which scientists routinely discount in every specific question they look at.
Why? Because they can't conceive that someone out there could be
smarter than they are. Not possible. They sort of insist that everyone
else would apply their logic to any situation they can imagine. The
fact is, we have no way of knowing the process or technology by which a vastly
superior civilization might discover that we exist and come for a visit.
The other reason is that there's something unique about earth we
already know about, something that sets us dramatically apart from 99+
percent of other planets. The moon. (Despite science's insistence that
it understands everything important about the universe, it still can't
explain definitively where
the moon came from.) It is
a stabilizing factor in our planetary orbit and rotation. It keeps us
from flipping and rolling and having the high old time we'd no doubt
prefer if we were the planetary teenagers Carl Sagan warned us not to
be. Without the moon, and its exact size, rotation, and
periodicity, there's no chance there'd be life on earth. The nature of the moon's
relationship to the earth, and the sun, makes us a glowing signal to
anyone out there looking for advanced life in the universe. We're a
kind of neon sign to anyone who has the 'magical' technology to sift
through galaxies in search of likely loci of life.
Beyond this, the root assumption still
sucks. The four 'unlikely' phases of the development of life on earth
have the flavor of Zeno's Arrow. In a proper logical context, life
seems incredibly unlikely to the believers of neo-Darwinian evolution.
Four big steps are required, each of which is prohibitively improbable.
Provided you think it's all caused by mutation and adaptation. With no
intelligence involved.
Uh oh. Intelligent design. The great non-theory of the non-scientific.
Fuck off. If intelligence is possible as an attribute of organic life
forms, it's also a pre-existing potentiality -- call it a built-in
property of the universe itself, like leaf shapes and cranial brain location --
and maybe it drives relentlessly toward manifesting itself. If so, that
would change the odds the Brit scientist is "rationalizing." No more
Zeno. In this case, the universe is teeming with intelligent life and
the odds are very different from what the experts would have us
believe. Change the assumption, change the odds.
Why are they so resistant? The scientists, I mean. They're not behaving rationally at all. On the one hand, they chafe at
the idea that a change in a few constants of physics would result in no
universe at all. They tell us the fortunate circumstances that underlie this
universe mean only that that all other combinations of physical laws
are also being tried out in universes unseen. On the other hand, they
insist that conscious intelligence is a freak by-product of an entirely
accidental process and means
nothing, while they simultaneously argue that it just might be the
rarest thing in the universe. What happened to the infinity of everything being tried?
I think it's called having your cake and eating it too. Their very
particular arrangement of probabilities makes them (purely by coincidence, mind)
the smartest beings in the universe. Hmmmm.
Not buying it. Too many credible stories about UFOs and USOs. If any of
them are true, the scientists are full of shit. Which isn't that much
of a reach. Let's face it.

.
I don't know how CountryPunk
knew the race was over before the first votes were reported, but he
did. Now I have two tasks. One, to acknowledge that Obama will be the
nominee of the Democratic Party, and two, to renounce any possibility
of my support for John McCain.
America wants to reap the whirlwind. So be it. You want an angry young
man for president? Have him. Just be aware that the best way to judge a
man is to know his wife. Michelle Obama is no Jackie Kennedy. She's a
good looking woman to be sure, but she's also a bitter, whining
harridan who probably makes her husband as miserable as he will make
us. I cringe at the thought of her being the hostess of state dinners.
But we survived Rosalynn Carter and we'll survive the pissed-off,
victimized Princetonian, too.
Now for McCain. My fleeting hope was that he was actually a politician.
He isn't. He's just an arrogant asshole. His decision to speak to La
Raza -- in clear defiance of the conservative base of his party,
which believes in the rule of law and disdains race-based extortion --
is both unconscionable and incredibly stupid.
It's the last part that's so dismaying. Politicians routinely do
unconscionable things. But they normally do them to satisfy the people
who have worked and sacrificed and gone the extra mile to get them
elected. John McCain is yet another of the new breed of western
Americans who are willing to betray their country for the sake of
Spanish architecture, Mexican food, and cheap gardeners. Only it's not
that cheap. It's that the braggart of the Straight Talk Express is
actually in the pocket of all the special interests who are willing to
do anything to keep the flow
of illegal low-cost labor flowing into the United States, law and
cultural integrity be damned.
Forget the hero of the Hanoi Hilton. The John McCain of 2008 is
corrupt. So corrupt that his debts to the illegal immigration promoters
outweigh even his desire to be president of the United States. That's a
big fucking debt.
We're all on our own now. Do whatever you want. The United States is
lost. Run a third-party ticket for Ron Paul. Run a fourth-party ticket
for Mike Huckabee. Stay at home and give Obama the biggest
congressional majority any president ever had. The Democrats will have
their day now.
And I have just stopped caring. Go to hell. All of you. Pretend that
the Islamists don't want to kill you. Maybe they'll relent and give
your wife and daughters an anesthetic before they cut off their
clitorises. Pretend that Iran doesn't really plan to nuke Israel. Just
remember to act surprised when it happens and Obama initiates a new
round of talks to deal with the implications. Pretend that the Iraq War
is nothing but a drain on American resources and explore the cornucopia
of consequences when we abandon them for the tenth time in twenty years.
I. DON'T. CARE.
Me? I love Obama. He's so coolly eloquent. Isn't that the height of
statecraft? Sure it is.
Whatever. I don't know anything. I thought the Republican Party would
have the balls to defend their own president, who accomplished an
absolute goddam miracle -- preventing another major domestic terrorist
attack for more than seven years. But no. They don't even want to
appear on the same podium with him. Fuck them. They don't deserve
anybody's vote. Give the damn Democrats every single seat in the House
and Senate and then see how quickly you want to throw them out of office. HINT: When they
decide all your paychecks should go directly to them first, so they can
decide how much you're not allowed to spend on Big Macs, spinner
wheels, rodeo tickets, smokes, hookers, tattoos, cheesy lingerie,
Southern Comfort, ten-gauge ammunition, and RVs. That'll settle your
hash. Oh. Excuse me. No, it won't. You'll happily trade all that for
FREE healthcare.
Assholes.
Thanks a lot, John McCain. There's more than one kind of traitor.
There's the kind who talks when he shouldn't. And there's the kind who
sells out the whole damn country because he's too smug and rich to
remember what his country is even about.
And thanks, Obama. We need you. In a strange, fucked up way, we need
you. We really do. Let's just hope the lesson you're there to teach us
doesn't kill us. It probably won't. But not because you won't be
trying.
Have at it, weed.

. It's
clear that CountryPunk
and, obviously, TruePunk
overreacted to last night's election results. As to their gratuitous
slamming of McCain, I can only assure you that I have sent them both
stern emails reminding them of the unfailing admiration we have always
had here for the Republican presidential nominee:
Time
Out
Ear
to the Ground
InstaPunk
Is Always Right
Where's
the Dark Matter?
The
Superior Conservative
McCain
for President
Pressing
the Point
A
Surge McCain Doesn't Support
No
Republicans Left in the Race
Six
Is a State of Mind
McCain
Reacts Angrily to NYT
Well, there's more, but you can see that we've been in the bag for
McCain from the very beginning. Sort of like Hugh Hewitt and Dean
Barnett were for Mitt Romney. But that doesn't mean we're incapable of
being objective. We love the guy to death, but we can still speak from
a certain distance. Just like Hugh and Dean said they could.
It's all going to be okay, people. Truly. It's absolutely not the case that
Mr. McCain is some kind of loose cannon, egomaniacal, rude, arrogant,
just-plain-nasty closet liberal control freak who thinks government
should be limited except when people behave in ways he doesn't approve
of. That's not who he is at all. He would absolutely talk to Rush
Limbaugh if he didn't already know that Limbaugh is a treacherous,
uneducated, and largely malicious distraction from the, well, sanctity of the ongoing dialogue
between the American people and the mainstream press, which has always
been so supportive of patriots like, uh John McCain.
I know from some of your emails that you're concerned I might be
withdrawing my declaration of support for the Arizona senator's bid for the
presidency. Not a chance. I understand the objections. CountryPunk has
a parochial view. TruePunk is just crazy. But we all always knew that.
Why would anyone think it's reasonable to expect a Republican nominee
to subscribe to all Republican positions? Isn't it enough to be vaguely
pro-life? Why can't a Republican kinda sorta believe in Global Warming
and the need to pulverize the entire global economic system to make it
one percent cooler? Who wouldn't want to turn the American southwest
over to an ethnic minority that would rather be Spanish than Indian if
it means laying a more persuasive legal claim to lucrative lands
developed by Anglos? And is it really so bad to have spent seven years
undermining and
sniping at a president who dared to undertake an attack on enemies
who'd been bombing us for a decade before he took office? Of course
not. That's just understandable maverickousness, common in Washington
as a head cold.
I really want to be clear about this. Especially now that we know Obama
will be the Democratic nominee. How should I put it? I want to be
precise. Here's my best attempt:
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHH!
WE CAN'T ELECT
OBAMA. WE
JUST CAN'T.
Does that clarify matters for you?
I thought it would.